Sports

NBA forecasts from BOOKER, our player-impact model, plus whatever else is going on.

BOOKER NBA forecast, 2026–27

The Celtics are the title favorites, at 18%

BOOKER is our player-impact model. It rates every player from lineup data, then simulates the rest of the season thousands of times. Updated daily.

Projected standings

TeamRecordProjected wins (80% range)PlayoffsTitle
Boston Celtics10–2
57
>99%18%
San Antonio Spurs11–2
57
97%9%
Houston Rockets10–3
55
96%7%
Los Angeles Lakers11–2
54
93%9%
Oklahoma City Thunder8–5
52
93%13%
Denver Nuggets7–4
52
91%14%
Portland Trail Blazers9–3
51
85%2%
Detroit Pistons8–4
50
94%5%
Minnesota Timberwolves9–4
48
80%4%
Philadelphia 76ers10–3
48
90%4%
New York Knicks6–6
46
85%4%
Golden State Warriors8–5
44
59%1%
Memphis Grizzlies9–4
44
57%1%
Cleveland Cavaliers7–7
43
75%3%
Miami Heat7–6
43
73%1%
Atlanta Hawks7–6
41
66%1%
Toronto Raptors5–7
41
62%2%
Orlando Magic5–7
40
56%1%
Phoenix Suns5–6
38
24%<1%
Indiana Pacers5–8
36
39%<1%
Dallas Mavericks7–6
36
17%<1%
Charlotte Hornets4–8
32
20%<1%
Brooklyn Nets3–9
31
16%<1%
Chicago Bulls3–9
31
15%<1%
LA Clippers3–8
30
5%<1%
Washington Wizards4–9
29
7%<1%
New Orleans Pelicans4–10
27
1%<1%
Milwaukee Bucks1–12
25
3%<1%
Sacramento Kings1–11
25
1%<1%
Utah Jazz1–12
25
1%<1%
Dot is the median projected win total; the bar runs from the 10th to the 90th percentile. As of 2026-11-15.

Upcoming games

  • Mon, Nov 16ORL@BOSBOS76%
  • Mon, Nov 16CHI@CLECLE74%
  • Mon, Nov 16MEM@WASMEM69%
  • Mon, Nov 16PHI@BRKPHI60%
  • Mon, Nov 16HOU@MIAHOU58%
  • Mon, Nov 16POR@MINMIN54%
  • Mon, Nov 16GSW@NOPGSW69%
  • Mon, Nov 16PHO@DENDEN80%
  • Tue, Nov 17NYK@TORNYK58%
  • Tue, Nov 17POR@MINMIN57%
  • Tue, Nov 17DET@SASSAS72%
  • Tue, Nov 17CHO@LALLAL84%

The best players this season

Projected wins above average, full season

Nikola JokicDEN
14.6
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOKC
13.8
Victor WembanyamaSAS
11.4
Luka DoncicLAL
9.6
Tyrese HaliburtonIND
8.8
Jayson TatumBOS
6.8
Donovan MitchellCLE
6.3
Cade CunninghamDET
6.2
Anthony EdwardsMIN
5.9
Tyrese MaxeyPHI
5.8
Source: BOOKER

How good is it?

Across 9,523 games since 2017–18, BOOKER picked the winner 67.3% of the time. The betting market: 67.7%.

Full BOOKER dashboard and methodology

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